sss4
0xa5435433645a8dc3595ecbf87b2e568ec6a4d47e
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $86.6k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $25.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$154.31at 0.260UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$137.54at 0.173Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
- +$131.75at 0.315Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on November 14?
- +$69.48at 0.420Will Colombia win on 2025-11-18?
- +$47.60at 0.490Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 01:34 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.027 | $67.50 |
| 06-11 13:31 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.018 | $82.63 |
| 06-11 13:30 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.027 | $27.00 |
| 06-11 13:30 | 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | SELL | 0.0262352399 | $27.60 |
| 06-11 13:30 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.59 | $32.45 |
| 05-31 21:58 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.14 | $61.02 |
| 05-31 21:17 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.37 | $211.28 |
| 05-31 20:57 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.34 | $102.00 |
| 05-31 20:55 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $20.00 |
| 05-31 18:36 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.33 | $46.25 |
| 05-31 18:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $50.64 |
| 05-31 18:34 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.33 | $84.53 |
| 05-31 18:33 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.017 | $89.82 |
| 05-31 18:30 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.31 |
| 05-29 17:40 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.34 | $387.43 |