PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sss4

0xa5435433645a8dc3595ecbf87b2e568ec6a4d47e

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$86.6k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$25.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.025$12.49+$7.39
100kt meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.0700.030$11.96$15.76
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes0.3000.305$1.52+$0.03
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$10.00
House passes Epstein disclosure bill on Tuesday? · No0.0400.000$0.00$5.00
49ers vs. Rams · Rams0.8000.000$0.00$24.00
Will Tanzania win on 2025-12-23? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$12.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$67.86
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$16.10
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 10? · No0.0900.000$0.00$50.31
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$42.35
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Tsarukyan (Lightweight, Main Card) · Hooker0.1600.000$0.00$16.00
No airdrop in 2025? · Yes0.2550.000$0.00$140.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? · No0.2200.000$0.00$24.20
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7PM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00$85.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 01:34Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.027$67.50
06-11 13:31Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.018$82.63
06-11 13:30Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.027$27.00
06-11 13:301 megaton meteor strike in 2026?SELL0.0262352399$27.60
06-11 13:30Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.59$32.45
05-31 21:58Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.14$61.02
05-31 21:17Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.37$211.28
05-31 20:57Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.34$102.00
05-31 20:55Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.001$20.00
05-31 18:36Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.33$46.25
05-31 18:35Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$50.64
05-31 18:34Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.33$84.53
05-31 18:33Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.017$89.82
05-31 18:30Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.33$2.31
05-29 17:40Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.34$387.43