0x0e77F753DA6b2d278F80830Aa1e9Cad3eBB02032-1772027439543
0xa53d5256034bd71e294c4cdc19800b279930ef89
- Realised P&L
- $13.58
- Volume
- $813.12
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $24.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration90.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes | 0.090 | 1.000 | $22.22 | +$20.22 |
| Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $1.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.004 | $0.84 | −$1.16 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Down | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.99 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 13:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $4.99 |
| 07-29 22:25 | Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 22:25 | Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.0082989465 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 22:16 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |