eason007
0xa53934ee0bb48ac4eff2fc559a7dee3f583e8eab
- Realised P&L
- $-199.66
- Volume
- $24.6k
- Markets traded
- 842
- Open portfolio
- $3.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded842
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $100 in October? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.430 | $2.15 | −$0.10 |
| Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.025 | $0.98 | −$0.38 |
| Hawks vs. Nets · Nets | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Lakers vs. Suns · Lakers | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $190 and $200 on October 31? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 13? · No | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.88 |
| Mavericks vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.45 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder · Lakers | 0.163 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.45 |
| Hawks vs. Spurs · Hawks | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.90 |
| Jazz vs. Warriors · Jazz | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| Bucks vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.90 |
| Bulls vs. Jazz · Bulls | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.90 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13? · No | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Heat vs. Bulls · Bulls | 0.284 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.66 |
| Spurs vs. Lakers · Spurs | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.83at 0.405Nets vs. Pelicans
- +$39.50at 0.210Will Trump say "Iran" at his rally?
- +$24.30at 0.190Spurs vs. Nuggets
- +$21.30at 0.130Nets vs. Bucks
- +$21.00at 0.230Nuggets vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 16:36 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 08-28 16:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.104 | $1.04 |
| 07-07 16:33 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 07-01 17:51 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 07-01 16:14 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 06-23 04:45 | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | SELL | 0.82 | $2.73 |
| 06-23 03:46 | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 08:33 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.112 | $1.12 |
| 06-02 08:29 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.08 |
| 12-19 02:00 | Clippers vs. Thunder | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 12-18 07:15 | Clippers vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 12-03 03:31 | Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 11-27 04:58 | Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 11-27 03:25 | Grizzlies vs. Pelicans | SELL | 0.52 | $2.59 |
| 11-27 03:03 | Pacers vs. Raptors | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |