0xa5337c068baAe6E8a3100a0e12cf791c40BE8448-1721205349714
0xa5337c068baae6e8a3100a0e12cf791c40be8448
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $262.7k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $256.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$480.70at 0.423France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$462.68at 0.218Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$240.80at 0.066Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$51.46at 0.060Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
- +$-16.30at 0.041Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 01:01 | AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $5.04 |
| 09-29 01:00 | AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $75.30 |
| 09-29 01:00 | AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $64.97 |
| 09-26 23:15 | AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.23 | $19.59 |
| 09-26 23:15 | AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $123.84 |
| 07-22 23:02 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.0725009812 | $241.63 |
| 07-21 18:22 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1009999994 | $134.15 |
| 07-20 22:22 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1519816434 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 21:34 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3649999984 | $97.65 |
| 07-19 01:30 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1017393728 | $137.00 |
| 07-15 18:26 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5424999998 | $511.42 |
| 07-15 12:54 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.226 | $324.62 |
| 07-14 22:23 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.227 | $978.18 |
| 07-14 20:28 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1 | $25.00 |
| 07-14 20:28 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.9 | $916.61 |