Hashbrown
0xa52b785a5510117ac3ae03d75d029f89a36c9480
- Realised P&L
- $141.4k
- Volume
- $14.47M
- Markets traded
- 1,100
- Open portfolio
- $30.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,100
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.1kat 0.880Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$15.9kat 0.165Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$15.5kat 0.901No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$15.3kat 0.873Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$12.0kat 0.896Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 14:55 | West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies | BUY | 0.92 | $19.3k |
| 10-06 14:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $441.60 |
| 10-06 14:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $505.81 |
| 10-06 13:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $502.71 |
| 10-06 13:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.958006775 | $736.71 |
| 10-06 13:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.96 | $57.60 |
| 10-06 13:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.993 | $5.0k |
| 10-06 13:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.989 | $4.95 |
| 10-06 13:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.957984456 | $554.67 |
| 10-06 13:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.0k |
| 10-06 13:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.9k |
| 10-06 13:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.9899508503 | $100.71 |
| 10-06 13:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.986 | $268.19 |
| 10-06 13:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.986 | $278.05 |
| 10-06 02:51 | Falcons vs. Saints | BUY | 0.9695513684 | $1.8k |