Why.Bother
0xa52a3d58ed6af865d874b05967dc1331b6ea07a1
- Realised P&L
- $-73.12
- Volume
- $21.8k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $11.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $11.25 | −$3.75 |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.92 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.10 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.93 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.36 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.59 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.89 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 22:18 | Will Trump deport less than 250,000? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.01 |
| 02-28 22:18 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $10.68 |
| 02-28 22:18 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 02-28 22:18 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 02-26 19:22 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 02-23 22:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $7.65 |
| 02-22 16:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 02-22 16:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.02 |
| 02-22 11:23 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 02-22 06:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? | BUY | 0.0079930253 | $5.73 |
| 02-22 05:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 02-20 21:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | BUY | 0.0136306644 | $6.15 |
| 02-20 21:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? | BUY | 0.009 | $7.69 |
| 02-20 19:42 | Will Trump deport less than 250,000? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.01 |
| 02-20 19:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |