PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

directino

0xa5259eba63e2825bcb3ecf0be9f3a2e9fc321e7b

Realised P&L
$11.2k
Volume
$62.2k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$29.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar18.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2000.123$12.35−$7.65
Maduro guilty of all counts? · No0.6300.665$10.56+$0.56
Will the Democrats win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0280.008$3.92−$9.80
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0270.017$1.22−$0.78
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9720.989$1.02+$0.02
Will the Republican Party win the WA-01 House seat? · Yes0.0250.026$0.26+$0.01
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · No0.2150.001$0.12−$53.62
Will the Democratic Party win the ND-AL House seat? · Yes0.0320.024$0.12−$0.04
Will the Republican Party win the CA-34 House seat? · Yes0.0200.002$0.08−$1.04
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 · Under0.4300.000$0.00−$86.86
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$41.34
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers · Lakers0.0700.000$0.00−$10.50
Will the Commanders win the season series against the Cowboys during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00−$6.12
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? · No0.3400.000$0.00−$55.00
Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? · No0.0300.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 16:00Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.17$2.34
10-22 17:12Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.13$16.12
09-21 16:22Will the season series between the Cowboys and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.4654320988$48.26
09-19 10:20Will the season series between the Cowboys and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.5$34.00
08-09 00:06Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?SELL0.75$37.50
08-09 00:05Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?BUY0.704$35.20
08-08 23:22Will the Republican Party win the WA-01 House seat?BUY0.025$0.25
08-08 23:17Will the Cowboys win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.36$36.00
08-08 23:17Will the Cowboys win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.35$23.10
08-08 23:10Will the season series between the Cowboys and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.39$66.96
08-08 23:07Will the Commanders win the season series against the Cowboys during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.19$1.12
08-08 20:23Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?SELL0.62$20.10
08-08 15:18Will Francesca Hong win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?BUY0.6$43.20
08-08 15:13Will David Crowley win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?BUY0.27$26.73
08-08 13:46Will Francesca Hong win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?BUY0.6$23.40