directino
0xa5259eba63e2825bcb3ecf0be9f3a2e9fc321e7b
- Realised P&L
- $11.2k
- Volume
- $62.2k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $29.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar18.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.3kat 0.191Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?
- +$2.3kat 0.299Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?
- +$1.1kat 0.457Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$198.76at 0.716Will Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$81.90at 0.764Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:00 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.17 | $2.34 |
| 10-22 17:12 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.13 | $16.12 |
| 09-21 16:22 | Will the season series between the Cowboys and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.4654320988 | $48.26 |
| 09-19 10:20 | Will the season series between the Cowboys and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.5 | $34.00 |
| 08-09 00:06 | Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? | SELL | 0.75 | $37.50 |
| 08-09 00:05 | Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.704 | $35.20 |
| 08-08 23:22 | Will the Republican Party win the WA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.025 | $0.25 |
| 08-08 23:17 | Will the Cowboys win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 08-08 23:17 | Will the Cowboys win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.35 | $23.10 |
| 08-08 23:10 | Will the season series between the Cowboys and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.39 | $66.96 |
| 08-08 23:07 | Will the Commanders win the season series against the Cowboys during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.12 |
| 08-08 20:23 | Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? | SELL | 0.62 | $20.10 |
| 08-08 15:18 | Will Francesca Hong win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? | BUY | 0.6 | $43.20 |
| 08-08 15:13 | Will David Crowley win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? | BUY | 0.27 | $26.73 |
| 08-08 13:46 | Will Francesca Hong win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? | BUY | 0.6 | $23.40 |