PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xa51e42cc59a3d7b4d49d055fdb567788816c4c81

Realised P&L
$-0.28
Volume
$86.76
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$12.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.6100.815$2.48+$0.62
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.7800.825$2.12+$0.12
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.6200.625$2.02+$0.02
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.3400.340$2.00+$0.00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · No0.5600.555$1.98$0.02
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.6500.415$1.28$0.72
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.2200.022$0.20$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 08:22Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.3399999422$2.00
08-04 00:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.78$2.00
08-03 16:21US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.619999969$2.00
08-03 08:20Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
08-02 21:54Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.5599999664$2.00
08-02 13:42Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
08-01 04:11Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.6599998949$2.01
08-01 04:11Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
08-01 04:11Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5019999689$2.00
07-31 20:10Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999281$1.56
07-31 12:10Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.6$1.83
07-28 16:56Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?BUY0.7199997408$2.00
07-27 19:32Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-27 06:06Will Trump say "Forever" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.75$1.90
07-26 18:06Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Michigan remarks?BUY0.43$1.29