PolyBot

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Traders

51lemons

0xa51cf947f429ec942e5fcb26d4e3a4d436a7db68

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$298.3k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$18.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · No0.7341.000$7.2k+$1.9k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8500.960$5.6k+$644.12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8310.972$1.8k+$254.13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.5700.935$1.6k+$640.57
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.6600.961$1.5k+$455.30
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0520.028$687.50$611.85
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7881.000$380.71+$80.71
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0420.001$15.47$1.3k
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.7500.000$0.00$300.00
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$299.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-01 02:03Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiSELL0.001$1.11
03-01 02:00Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.002$4.00
02-20 22:22Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.85$5.0k
02-20 01:04Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.75$300.00
02-20 00:33US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?SELL0.31$310.00
02-15 22:00Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?SELL0.003$1.61
02-15 21:59Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?SELL0.001$1.50
01-29 01:12No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?BUY0.7879999996$300.00
01-29 01:08Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?BUY0.2118599182$50.00
01-22 02:36Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?BUY0.9003429008$500.00
01-22 02:33US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.8$500.00
01-22 02:20Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?SELL0.04$105.26
01-22 02:09Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.6599999998$1000.00
01-09 01:42Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?BUY0.956212941$500.00
01-09 01:39Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.3799999998$1000.00