PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Cool600

0xa51b8d56a3ae3311c68111284d00af22f3fb26b1

Realised P&L
$19.4k
Volume
$870.9k
Markets traded
437
Open portfolio
$36.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded437
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.130$26.00$2.00
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1290.050$5.30$8.42
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.9900.072$3.62$45.88
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.9900.086$1.28$13.57
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0600.090$0.45+$0.15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.3700.000$0.00$50.00
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · No0.6230.000$0.00$498.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$20.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? · No0.4800.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 05:38Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.12$43.58
06-12 05:38Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?SELL0.114098233$61.54
05-05 05:50Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1899999975$50.00
05-05 05:48US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3699999957$50.00
04-12 03:22Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?BUY0.4799999981$50.00
04-08 21:48Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL0.53$18.20
04-07 05:42Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL0.68$135.32
04-04 18:00Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?BUY0.9723186496$10.00
04-03 15:04Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL0.6185958596$48.11
04-03 13:59US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.79$79.00
04-01 06:21US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.57$57.00
03-24 07:15Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?BUY0.32$20.00
03-23 23:22Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?SELL0.81$80.99
03-22 00:40Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?BUY0.55$110.00
03-19 19:32Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.2099999968$50.00