Cool600
0xa51b8d56a3ae3311c68111284d00af22f3fb26b1
- Realised P&L
- $19.4k
- Volume
- $870.9k
- Markets traded
- 437
- Open portfolio
- $36.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded437
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.130 | $26.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.050 | $5.30 | −$8.42 |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.072 | $3.62 | −$45.88 |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.086 | $1.28 | −$13.57 |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.090 | $0.45 | +$0.15 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · No | 0.623 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$498.00 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? · No | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.7kat 0.682Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$3.0kat 0.600Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
- +$3.0kat 0.135Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
- +$2.5kat 0.592Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
- +$2.1kat 0.650Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 05:38 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $43.58 |
| 06-12 05:38 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | SELL | 0.114098233 | $61.54 |
| 05-05 05:50 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999975 | $50.00 |
| 05-05 05:48 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999957 | $50.00 |
| 04-12 03:22 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | BUY | 0.4799999981 | $50.00 |
| 04-08 21:48 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | SELL | 0.53 | $18.20 |
| 04-07 05:42 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | SELL | 0.68 | $135.32 |
| 04-04 18:00 | Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9723186496 | $10.00 |
| 04-03 15:04 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | SELL | 0.6185958596 | $48.11 |
| 04-03 13:59 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 04-01 06:21 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 03-24 07:15 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 03-23 23:22 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | SELL | 0.81 | $80.99 |
| 03-22 00:40 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | BUY | 0.55 | $110.00 |
| 03-19 19:32 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.2099999968 | $50.00 |