0x00000000000000000000000000000000
0xa5185f40c9d52ad7d50c21023d646f9b48a94ca2
- Realised P&L
- $-324.01
- Volume
- $20.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,412
- Open portfolio
- $12.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,412
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration3.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.580 | $11.60 | −$2.20 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? · Yes | 0.449 | 0.315 | $0.87 | −$0.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.77at 0.659Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
- +$22.72at 0.644Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
- +$19.35at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
- +$18.66at 0.604Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
- +$17.36at 0.614Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-25 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $9.11 |
| 02-25 01:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $11.48 |
| 02-25 01:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9156428571 | $8.95 |
| 02-25 01:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $14.73 |
| 02-25 00:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $12.11 |
| 02-25 00:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $6.30 |
| 02-25 00:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $17.05 |
| 02-25 00:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $10.28 |
| 02-25 00:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $18.47 |
| 02-24 23:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $9.50 |
| 02-24 22:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $8.82 |
| 02-24 22:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 02-24 22:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $11.76 |
| 02-24 22:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $12.29 |
| 02-24 22:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $9.39 |