PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a

0xa510249c44a60591cbe1747eb0fd97267d431f80

Realised P&L
$-436.67
Volume
$9.69M
Markets traded
848
Open portfolio
$19.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded848
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 22:41Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?SELL0.07$5.28
09-16 10:29Israel military action against Lebanon on September 21?SELL0.2$2.69
09-14 11:20Israel military action against Lebanon on September 14?SELL0.1$4.00
09-10 20:36LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.001$5.00
09-10 20:23Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30?SELL0.016$17.33
09-06 19:38Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 970m by September 30?BUY0.012$1.26
06-15 09:33US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.864$4.32
06-01 17:15Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?SELL0.994$4.40
06-01 17:02MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.998$102.00
06-01 16:58Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by June 30, 2026?SELL0.1088484848$3.63
06-01 16:54Iran closes its airspace by June 30?SELL0.289$0.05
06-01 15:53MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.461$47.11
06-01 15:52MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.538$3.36
06-01 15:52MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.538$10.09
06-01 15:52MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.538$40.35