0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a
0xa510249c44a60591cbe1747eb0fd97267d431f80
- Realised P&L
- $-436.67
- Volume
- $9.69M
- Markets traded
- 848
- Open portfolio
- $19.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded848
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.060Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
- +$1.6kat 0.221Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on July 4?
- +$1.1kat 0.328James Comey arrested by April 29?
- +$784.56at 0.231Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 21?
- +$458.67at 0.003Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:41 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17? | SELL | 0.07 | $5.28 |
| 09-16 10:29 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 21? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.69 |
| 09-14 11:20 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 14? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 09-10 20:36 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 20:23 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30? | SELL | 0.016 | $17.33 |
| 09-06 19:38 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 970m by September 30? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.26 |
| 06-15 09:33 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.864 | $4.32 |
| 06-01 17:15 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $4.40 |
| 06-01 17:02 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $102.00 |
| 06-01 16:58 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1088484848 | $3.63 |
| 06-01 16:54 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.289 | $0.05 |
| 06-01 15:53 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.461 | $47.11 |
| 06-01 15:52 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.538 | $3.36 |
| 06-01 15:52 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.538 | $10.09 |
| 06-01 15:52 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.538 | $40.35 |