0xA5070eDA21262c13D8bd3252a7b37d258574f17d-1767676045259
0xa5070eda21262c13d8bd3252a7b37d258574f17d
- Realised P&L
- $209.90
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 335
- Open portfolio
- $54.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded335
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.25at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
- +$101.85at 0.324Lula participates in debate before first round?
- +$97.23at 0.239US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
- +$60.70at 0.602US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala
- +$46.27at 0.465US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 10:06 | Will Luizianne win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 10-01 22:34 | Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? | SELL | 0.8002 | $40.01 |
| 09-30 01:02 | Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 09-29 22:11 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.29 | $11.60 |
| 09-29 22:09 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.069 | $6.90 |
| 09-29 16:14 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 09-29 14:57 | Lula participates in debate before first round? | SELL | 0.83875 | $167.75 |
| 09-29 00:07 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.62 | $5.25 |
| 09-28 18:35 | Lula participates in debate before first round? | BUY | 0.61 | $9.22 |
| 09-28 16:33 | Lula participates in debate before first round? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 09-28 16:15 | Lula participates in debate before first round? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 09-28 16:13 | Lula participates in debate before first round? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 09-28 01:03 | Columbus Crew vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 00:34 | Lula participates in debate before first round? | BUY | 0.19 | $7.13 |
| 09-28 00:14 | Lula participates in debate before first round? | SELL | 0.81 | $18.20 |