PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Raax

0xa4fea934eb2330150ceeadf84682d32a910bc7c5

Realised P&L
$282.08
Volume
$85.6k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$420.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0040.003$189.84−$113.91
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.2800.235$143.35−$27.45
Sweden snap election called in 2026? · No0.8700.800$87.63−$7.67
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Yes0.4350.000$0.00−$16.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 11:10Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?SELL0.0864890827$16.56
10-27 15:422026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.28$170.80
10-26 17:00Sweden snap election called in 2026?BUY0.87$87.00
10-19 09:34Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.079$123.25
10-19 09:32Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.14$37.78
09-29 12:53Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.2006099355$168.27
09-01 05:41Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1299999997$290.65
11-28 14:19Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?BUY0.44$7.92
11-11 23:27Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?BUY0.4$1.84