Raax
0xa4fea934eb2330150ceeadf84682d32a910bc7c5
- Realised P&L
- $282.08
- Volume
- $85.6k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $420.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $189.84 | −$113.91 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.280 | 0.235 | $143.35 | −$27.45 |
| Sweden snap election called in 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.800 | $87.63 | −$7.67 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Yes | 0.435 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$169.46at 0.135Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$117.00at 0.220Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$14.82at 0.084Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.32at 0.145Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$0.06at 0.083Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:10 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD? | SELL | 0.0864890827 | $16.56 |
| 10-27 15:42 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.28 | $170.80 |
| 10-26 17:00 | Sweden snap election called in 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 10-19 09:34 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.079 | $123.25 |
| 10-19 09:32 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.14 | $37.78 |
| 09-29 12:53 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.2006099355 | $168.27 |
| 09-01 05:41 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1299999997 | $290.65 |
| 11-28 14:19 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BUY | 0.44 | $7.92 |
| 11-11 23:27 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.84 |