putaoer
0xa4fb7a39dda66b4efd0e38b13bb9fa39219db058
- Realised P&L
- $-54.81
- Volume
- $618.19
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $0.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.047 | $0.45 | −$1.55 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? · Yes | 0.484 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.52 |
| AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan · China | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 29-January 4? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Heat · Heat | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.99at 0.890Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$0.49at 0.910EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$0.05at 0.985Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$-1.65at 0.011Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 December 29-January 4?
- +$-5.14at 0.350Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 14:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $4.58 |
| 03-20 07:07 | Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 03-20 07:02 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 03-20 07:02 | EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 03-20 07:00 | GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 02-06 07:24 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.985 | $3.18 |
| 01-24 08:26 | AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan | BUY | 0.2699999937 | $30.00 |
| 01-23 05:32 | Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 01-23 05:28 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $4.86 |
| 01-09 14:25 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 01-09 14:24 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.97 | $11.98 |
| 01-03 04:38 | Timberwolves vs. Heat | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 01-03 04:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 December 29-January 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.35 |
| 12-31 18:09 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8899999506 | $11.00 |
| 12-30 15:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 29-January 4? | BUY | 0.0739999343 | $1.00 |