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Traders

Billy9028

0xa4f478e9a5f49f0b3064d4b98e21df8774d0cd48

Realised P&L
$-699.13
Volume
$88.3k
Markets traded
3,005
Open portfolio
$31.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,005
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 11:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?SELL0.82$39.02
11-01 07:15Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?SELL0.794$15.88
11-01 06:50Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?SELL0.93$46.50
10-31 17:26Government shutdown by December 31?SELL0.45$43.77
10-31 12:17Tusk out by December 31?SELL0.93$18.35
10-31 05:58Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.59$8.85
10-27 16:42Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?SELL0.3436$6.87
10-27 15:15Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?SELL0.28$5.60
10-27 13:39Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.5$10.00
10-27 13:12Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?SELL0.403$8.06
10-27 12:06Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?SELL0.346$6.92
10-27 10:06Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?SELL0.4$8.00
10-26 01:43Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?SELL0.27$5.40
10-25 22:59Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?SELL0.27$5.39
10-25 19:11Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.4$2.40