PolyBot

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Traders

Soypobreypendejo.

0xa4f3fa36c4632f2d3531dd7f846d73b16d8d6995

Realised P&L
$-74.85
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$25.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election? · Yes0.6300.725$25.29+$3.29
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-03? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$13.23
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-04-17? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$5.55
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-18? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$22.00
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$3.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$17.64
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4150.000$0.00−$8.45
Will Anish Giri win on 2026-04-11 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? · Yes0.4170.000$0.00−$3.00
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$3.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 05:53Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?BUY0.6305948708$22.00
07-19 18:59Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4149999872$8.45
07-19 18:57Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.08$1.00
07-12 04:05Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4299999946$17.64
06-19 05:50World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?BUY0.7599999483$10.00
06-19 05:28Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2199999727$5.00
06-19 05:27U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?SELL0.05$0.29
06-19 05:27Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.074$0.48
06-19 05:27Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?SELL0.16$0.59
06-19 05:26Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?SELL0.83$5.05
06-19 05:26Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.962$8.36
05-04 01:24Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-03?BUY0.54$13.23
05-02 18:39Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?BUY0.0883230613$2.50
05-02 18:37Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?SELL0.63$11.75
05-02 18:36Natural Disaster in 2026?SELL0.72$14.40