Soypobreypendejo.
0xa4f3fa36c4632f2d3531dd7f846d73b16d8d6995
- Realised P&L
- $-74.85
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $25.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.725 | $25.29 | +$3.29 |
| Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-03? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.23 |
| Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-04-17? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.55 |
| Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-18? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.64 |
| Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.415 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.45 |
| Will Anish Giri win on 2026-04-11 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? · Yes | 0.417 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.81at 0.088Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
- +$7.37at 0.380Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
- +$6.96at 0.223Will Seattle beat New England in Super Bowl LX?
- +$4.75at 0.762Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$3.65at 0.495Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 05:53 | Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election? | BUY | 0.6305948708 | $22.00 |
| 07-19 18:59 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4149999872 | $8.45 |
| 07-19 18:57 | Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 04:05 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4299999946 | $17.64 |
| 06-19 05:50 | World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | BUY | 0.7599999483 | $10.00 |
| 06-19 05:28 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 06-19 05:27 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.29 |
| 06-19 05:27 | Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.074 | $0.48 |
| 06-19 05:27 | Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.59 |
| 06-19 05:26 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $5.05 |
| 06-19 05:26 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $8.36 |
| 05-04 01:24 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-03? | BUY | 0.54 | $13.23 |
| 05-02 18:39 | Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31? | BUY | 0.0883230613 | $2.50 |
| 05-02 18:37 | Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $11.75 |
| 05-02 18:36 | Natural Disaster in 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $14.40 |