0xa4f0e63555fd1a9d146acc4a69d8a3ee3c22df05
- Realised P&L
- $-303.01
- Volume
- $22.8k
- Markets traded
- 412
- Open portfolio
- $3.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded412
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.65at 0.080Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 23?
- +$6.38at 0.080Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?
- +$3.41at 0.570Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 1?
- +$3.15at 0.066Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 21?
- +$2.27at 0.691Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 17:38 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 5? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.05 |
| 08-05 16:30 | Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on August 5? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.05 |
| 08-05 16:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.0693333333 | $1.04 |
| 08-05 14:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 14:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.93 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 14:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 07:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 5? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.05 |
| 08-05 07:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 08-05 07:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.05 |
| 08-04 16:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 16:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 15:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.93 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 15:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9382739212 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 15:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.93 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 07:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.05 |