penisville
0xa4f0e63555fd1a9d146acc4a69d8a3ee3c22df05
- Realised P&L
- $-970.06
- Volume
- $48.2k
- Markets traded
- 658
- Open portfolio
- $27.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded658
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.49at 0.054Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 3?
- +$117.96at 0.052Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 3?
- +$58.32at 0.085Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 23?
- +$55.95at 0.067Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 20?
- +$51.86at 0.071Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 12:14 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 22? | BUY | 0.0888274112 | $7.00 |
| 09-22 12:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 22? | BUY | 0.09 | $7.00 |
| 09-22 12:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 22? | BUY | 0.099 | $7.00 |
| 09-22 11:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on September 22? | BUY | 0.075 | $7.00 |
| 09-22 08:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.074 | $7.00 |
| 09-21 14:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on September 21? | BUY | 0.039 | $2.91 |
| 09-21 14:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 21? | BUY | 0.055 | $8.77 |
| 09-21 05:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.081 | $7.00 |
| 09-21 04:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.08 | $7.00 |
| 09-20 17:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.91 | $86.06 |
| 09-20 16:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.914 | $86.82 |
| 09-18 04:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.92 | $87.00 |
| 09-17 16:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9 | $87.70 |
| 09-17 14:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.92 | $87.00 |
| 09-17 13:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 17? | BUY | 0.09 | $7.00 |