PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

shanguo

0xa4efbc402d1291ef0f24b5eb1b05b0a7e11a6544

Realised P&L
$-74.43
Volume
$12.5k
Markets traded
231
Open portfolio
$5.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded231
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration76.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes0.3200.046$5.69$33.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 04:52Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?SELL0.35$7.00
07-30 04:52Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?SELL0.27$6.26
07-29 23:31Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 30?SELL0.34$16.28
07-29 15:09US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.3246518919$120.12
07-19 14:46Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?SELL0.33$33.72
07-19 14:01Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 20?SELL0.46$1.11
07-19 13:22Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 20?SELL0.48$6.65
07-19 09:07Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 20?SELL0.4$39.00
07-19 07:15Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 38%-40%?SELL0.35$7.00
07-19 07:12Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on July 20?SELL0.3113536822$32.13
07-19 06:53Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 20?SELL0.36$2.16
07-19 05:45Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$4.95
07-19 05:45Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.979$5.00
07-19 05:45Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.972$5.01
06-28 09:30Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.789$8.04