codefly
0xa4ef7dbfe3fc6cf96cc259412e9eecb7688dc98f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.14
- Volume
- $40.08
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $5.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$446.67at 0.612Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
- +$194.48at 0.526Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?
- +$139.10at 0.894Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?
- +$97.37at 0.847Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 in June?
- +$96.77at 0.772Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 19:15 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 in June? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.04 |
| 06-07 09:40 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 06-07 09:40 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.5599999462 | $10.00 |