qazwsx888
0xa4e29713af2b1e2c56dab727b51811bfb3a02799
- Realised P&L
- $-18.97
- Volume
- $149.18
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $18.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.258 | 0.245 | $9.49 | −$0.51 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.260 | $8.52 | −$0.66 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| BNB Up or Down - September 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.96 |
| BNB Up or Down - September 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Down | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.32at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
- +$0.46at 0.916BNB Up or Down - September 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 21:49 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.2799999939 | $9.18 |
| 09-26 21:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.2581823939 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 11:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.96 |
| 09-04 11:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 11:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $9.73 |
| 09-04 11:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 11:05 | BNB Up or Down - September 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 09-04 11:03 | BNB Up or Down - September 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 11:03 | BNB Up or Down - September 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 11:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |