Idontknow222
0xa4e14b0864ccb46de2d44e911e3abd7ccf6eeea2
- Realised P&L
- $-376.65
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $127.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.507 | 0.475 | $93.59 | −$6.41 |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.011 | $34.17 | −$220.28 |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-103.89at 0.325Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 07:15 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5075566223 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 07:12 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | BUY | 0.0476437383 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 10:40 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | BUY | 0.0899945191 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 13:00 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | BUY | 0.10801469 | $20.00 |
| 07-17 13:00 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | BUY | 0.0932292274 | $20.00 |
| 07-13 18:27 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 07-13 18:19 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | BUY | 0.0899772505 | $44.46 |
| 07-13 18:19 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.1 | $46.11 |
| 05-16 13:51 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? | BUY | 0.1437578027 | $46.06 |
| 05-12 10:17 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3299999967 | $50.00 |
| 05-12 10:15 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.322994885 | $100.00 |