zxcvb1
0xa4ddf437f6e80ab828ba582c1c46e0cc1eb323ff
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $469.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,262
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,262
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.495 | $787.05 | −$7.95 |
| Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) · FC Internazionale Milano | 0.566 | 0.565 | $202.16 | −$0.21 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14? · No | 0.430 | 0.405 | $190.35 | −$11.75 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) · FC Barcelona | 0.580 | 0.575 | $149.50 | −$1.30 |
| Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.150 | $45.15 | +$9.45 |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.101 | $13.06 | +$2.53 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.075 | $9.00 | −$0.60 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.125 | $8.75 | −$2.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.177Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$1.1kat 0.224LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs
- +$889.89at 0.391Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
- +$865.30at 0.567Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?
- +$750.23at 0.559Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 22:38 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.43 | $202.10 |
| 10-10 22:35 | Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 10-10 22:35 | Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 10-10 22:34 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.5 | $500.00 |
| 10-10 22:33 | Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $88.37 |
| 10-10 22:30 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | BUY | 0.58 | $150.80 |
| 10-10 18:38 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 10-06 19:36 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.4 | $296.00 |
| 10-05 23:16 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.54 | $210.60 |
| 10-05 18:42 | Spread: Italy (-1.5) | BUY | 0.37 | $111.00 |
| 10-04 22:24 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.54 | $162.00 |
| 10-04 22:19 | Spread: Italy (-1.5) | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 10-02 19:46 | France vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.32 | $128.00 |
| 10-02 19:46 | France vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.32 | $150.40 |
| 09-30 22:01 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5594543867 | $51.27 |