nfgewets
0xa4db2305bc4c900e55054721f112dfc4da9c362a
- Realised P&L
- $-33.49
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $72.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.530 | $72.62 | −$39.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.47at 0.972Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?
- +$0.34at 0.981Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 10?
- +$0.22at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 8?
- +$0.22at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on March 8?
- +$0.11at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-10 07:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $112.24 |
| 03-09 03:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 10? | BUY | 0.981 | $111.92 |
| 03-08 01:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 2-8? | BUY | 0.997 | $111.82 |
| 03-07 07:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $111.71 |
| 03-06 23:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 8? | BUY | 0.996 | $111.50 |
| 03-06 00:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on March 8? | BUY | 0.995 | $111.27 |
| 03-04 03:28 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March? | BUY | 0.972 | $109.81 |
| 03-01 14:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $109.70 |
| 02-25 11:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $109.59 |