driftun
0xa4d2a830f36195763e9eaf28ec47f37fd508a833
- Realised P&L
- $13.96
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $254.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.949 | 0.944 | $63.94 | −$0.34 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.966 | $63.78 | +$1.06 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-25 House seat? · Yes | 0.961 | 0.967 | $63.67 | +$0.39 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.963 | 0.965 | $63.18 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.63at 0.950Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in May?
- +$1.32at 0.933Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.27at 0.960Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
- +$1.04at 0.945Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
- +$0.82at 0.949Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 13:10 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-15 House seat? | BUY | 0.972 | $49.96 |
| 04-08 12:31 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.969999989 | $19.43 |