0xa4ce507600395afb15debeebbb30d2424ba04aa9
0xa4ce507600395afb15debeebbb30d2424ba04aa9
- Realised P&L
- $-0.63
- Volume
- $32.65
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $7.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.530 | $1.99 | +$0.49 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.445 | $1.78 | +$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.405 | $1.62 | +$0.10 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.305 | $1.34 | −$0.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.345 | $1.21 | −$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.63at 0.321Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.26 |
| 10-01 04:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.68 |
| 10-01 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.52 |
| 10-01 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 10-01 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.50 |
| 10-01 00:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.54 |
| 10-01 00:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.24 |
| 10-01 00:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.42 | $1.68 |