0xa4cb208aa320230c6cdf56e25b30a01590d1783c
0xa4cb208aa320230c6cdf56e25b30a01590d1783c
- Realised P&L
- $-5.51
- Volume
- $234.55
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $3.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 1.000 | $3.92 | +$1.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
- +$2.49at 0.452Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$1.95at 0.512Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?
- +$1.86at 0.523Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 05:31 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 08:54 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 21:16 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 08:13 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 21:39 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 13:18 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699998807 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 05:05 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 20:11 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 12:05 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 09:20 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 01:20 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 15:20 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 11:50 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 00:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 08:45 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |