co5n3ll
0xa4b8413eb1daf7c9ff4a0459d33d8e6ea064b7f3
- Realised P&L
- $-3.80
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $0.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? · Up | 0.260 | 0.145 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Up | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · Up | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1PM ET · Up | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Down | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.76at 0.981Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
- +$7.13at 0.636Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
- +$5.80at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
- +$4.68at 0.897Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
- +$2.82at 0.773Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 20:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4PM ET | SELL | 0.83 | $5.76 |
| 10-02 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.04 |
| 10-02 20:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 20:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 20:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 19:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | SELL | 0.76 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 19:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 19:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | SELL | 0.73 | $5.98 |
| 10-02 19:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 19:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $5.12 |
| 10-02 19:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 19:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | SELL | 0.8 | $6.06 |
| 10-02 19:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 18:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1013410789 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 18:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |