PolyBot

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Traders

0xa4b484081128a47c50215e06b4c2baad305c0a35

Realised P&L
$45.95
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
163
Open portfolio
$160.03

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded163
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 30? · Yes0.2801.000$30.00+$21.60
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6? · Yes0.4101.000$21.00+$12.39
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 4? · Yes0.4501.000$20.00+$11.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9? · Yes0.5801.000$12.00+$5.04
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 13? · Yes0.5701.000$10.00+$4.30
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 29? · Yes0.6901.000$10.00+$3.10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 12? · Yes0.6101.000$10.00+$3.90
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 18? · Yes0.3901.000$10.00+$6.10
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 31? · Yes0.6801.000$9.60+$3.07
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 9? · Yes0.3800.410$8.20+$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 8? · Yes0.5001.000$6.00+$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 10? · Yes0.4001.000$5.00+$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 1? · Yes0.5301.000$5.00+$2.35
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 6? · Yes0.3501.000$3.13+$2.03
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · Bilibili Gaming0.3310.000$0.00$21.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 19:50Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?BUY0.41$8.61
08-05 13:50Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 5?BUY0.35$4.90
08-03 13:50Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3?BUY0.63$6.30
08-03 06:38Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 3?BUY0.35$1.75
08-02 13:51Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 2?BUY0.51$5.10
07-21 13:57Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 21?SELL0.129$1.29
07-21 13:55Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 92-93°F on July 21?SELL0.49$4.90
07-21 09:43Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 21?BUY0.155$1.55
07-20 13:50Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on July 20?SELL0.028$0.28
07-20 13:47Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on July 20?SELL0.18$1.91
07-20 09:51Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on July 20?BUY0.1199999225$1.30
07-19 18:12Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 19?SELL0.1$0.02
07-19 18:04Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 19?SELL0.08$0.22
07-19 18:03Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 19?SELL0.09$0.45
07-19 18:03Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 19?SELL0.45$1.08