0xa4b484081128a47c50215e06b4c2baad305c0a35
- Realised P&L
- $45.95
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $160.03
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.10at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 1?
- +$19.15at 0.073Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on July 1?
- +$12.35at 0.350Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 22?
- +$12.20at 0.390Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 25?
- +$12.09at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:50 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.41 | $8.61 |
| 08-05 13:50 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.35 | $4.90 |
| 08-03 13:50 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 08-03 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 08-02 13:51 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 07-21 13:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 21? | SELL | 0.129 | $1.29 |
| 07-21 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 92-93°F on July 21? | SELL | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 07-21 09:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 21? | BUY | 0.155 | $1.55 |
| 07-20 13:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on July 20? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.28 |
| 07-20 13:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on July 20? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.91 |
| 07-20 09:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on July 20? | BUY | 0.1199999225 | $1.30 |
| 07-19 18:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 19? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.02 |
| 07-19 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 19? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.22 |
| 07-19 18:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 19? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 07-19 18:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 19? | SELL | 0.45 | $1.08 |