PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa4b484081128a47c50215e06b4c2baad305c0a35

0xa4b484081128a47c50215e06b4c2baad305c0a35

Realised P&L
$-7.38
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
180
Open portfolio
$23.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded180
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration90.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 · Over0.4501.000$9.00+$4.95
Fenerbahçe SK to score first vs. SK Slavia Praha? · Yes0.6300.665$6.06+$0.32
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win the second half? · Yes0.6000.610$5.56+$0.09
Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.0900.135$2.56+$0.85
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A · Power Rangers0.4100.001$0.00−$3.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 17:27Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5BUY0.45$4.05
10-07 16:58Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.09$1.71
08-16 07:56Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 16?BUY0.08$4.80
08-15 06:50Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 15?BUY0.21$1.05
08-13 07:51Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 13?BUY0.1884133474$9.50
08-05 19:50Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?BUY0.41$8.61
08-05 13:50Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 5?BUY0.35$4.90
08-03 13:50Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3?BUY0.63$6.30
08-03 06:38Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 3?BUY0.35$1.75
08-02 13:51Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 2?BUY0.51$5.10
07-21 13:57Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 21?SELL0.129$1.29
07-21 13:55Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 92-93°F on July 21?SELL0.49$4.90
07-21 09:43Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 21?BUY0.155$1.55
07-20 13:50Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on July 20?SELL0.028$0.28
07-20 13:47Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on July 20?SELL0.18$1.91