PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA4B2707f12E7B451b99C2c61bBC92328f5401c67-1740876000276

0xa4b2707f12e7b451b99c2c61bbc92328f5401c67

Realised P&L
$-4.4k
Volume
$823.6k
Markets traded
3,416
Open portfolio
$168.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,416
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · No0.0800.085$78.11+$4.60
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1600.105$65.63$34.38
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0700.075$24.82+$1.65
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonova · Maya Joint0.1500.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET · Up0.2800.000$0.00$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00$27.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET · Down0.2870.000$0.00$114.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00$17.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Up0.2100.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET · Up0.7010.000$0.00$101.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET · Up0.4860.000$0.00$100.00
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians0.1700.000$0.00$68.00
Prague 2: Norbert Gombos vs Sean Cuenin · Sean Cuenin0.1800.000$0.00$54.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 04:49Miami Marlins vs. Arizona DiamondbacksBUY0.55$9.90
09-16 00:11Dana White's Contender Series: Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)SELL0.999$13.99
09-09 19:00US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco GauffBUY0.58$348.00
09-09 15:06Antalya 4: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Miriam BulgaruSELL0.23$69.00
09-09 14:22Istanbul 3: Gabi Boitan vs Harold MayotBUY0.67$245.79
09-09 01:29Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit TigersSELL0.999$374.63
09-09 01:18Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit TigersSELL0.999$249.75
09-09 01:05Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit TigersBUY0.86$860.00
09-08 21:11US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex MichelsenBUY0.61$201.30
09-08 04:44Toronto Blue Jays vs. AthleticsBUY0.5590655079$179.48
09-08 03:46SMU vs. Florida StateBUY0.47$282.00
09-08 03:43St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco GiantsSELL0.999$277.35
09-07 07:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.55$33.00
09-07 07:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETBUY0.0318678889$28.68
09-07 07:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.5082429649$254.12