revelo
0xa4a74c3f758f6e37f9f8121a999df803b195d357
- Realised P&L
- $-24.58
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $2.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.725 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 2? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.770 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.365 | $0.60 | −$0.40 |
| Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider · Iva Jovic | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Up | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - October 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET · Up | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Raiders vs. Jets · Jets | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Up | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET · Up | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - October 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET · Up | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - October 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Down | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.38at 0.140Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
- +$1.26at 0.447SMU vs. Syracuse
- +$1.08at 0.180Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
- +$1.07at 0.487Spread: Lions (-3.5)
- +$1.04at 0.582Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:34 | Gold Up or Down - November 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | SELL | 0.11 | $0.22 |
| 11-02 02:31 | Gold Up or Down - November 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 02:28 | Gold Up or Down - November 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $0.14 |
| 11-02 02:25 | Gold Up or Down - November 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 02:25 | Gold Up or Down - November 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | SELL | 0.39 | $0.83 |
| 11-02 02:24 | Gold Up or Down - November 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 02:17 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 2? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 02:11 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $2.23 |
| 11-02 02:11 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 01:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $1.20 |
| 11-02 01:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 01:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | SELL | 0.8 | $1.10 |
| 11-02 01:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 01:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | SELL | 0.68 | $1.19 |
| 11-02 01:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |