IsBananas3
0xa4a4925c246e0cf3f8e2c3cd618bb9902623f5d0
- Realised P&L
- $-405.93
- Volume
- $37.7k
- Markets traded
- 3,830
- Open portfolio
- $10.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,830
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SC Cambuur be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.315 | $6.30 | −$2.70 |
| Will Guy Veillette win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election? · No | 0.800 | 0.675 | $2.05 | −$0.38 |
| Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · No | 0.290 | 0.300 | $1.30 | +$0.04 |
| Will Ohio State Buckeyes be the number 1 ranked offense in CFB · Yes | 0.210 | 0.055 | $1.10 | −$3.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.33at 0.417Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$20.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
- +$20.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
- +$20.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
- +$20.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 07:44 | Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft? | SELL | 0.722 | $14.44 |
| 08-26 22:53 | Will Brian Thomas Jr. have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 08-26 01:56 | Will Coco Gauff advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open? | SELL | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 08-25 23:20 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | SELL | 0.187 | $3.64 |
| 08-25 20:39 | Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election? | SELL | 0.37504 | $7.50 |
| 08-25 00:33 | Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028? | SELL | 0.56 | $4.48 |
| 08-23 22:51 | Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028? | SELL | 0.56 | $6.72 |
| 08-21 16:04 | Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 08-21 09:36 | Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.51 | $2.70 |
| 08-21 06:57 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.807 | $16.14 |
| 08-21 01:49 | Will Wilson Lima win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election? | SELL | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 08-20 10:38 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 08-15 22:31 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 08-13 09:39 | Will John Krasinski attend the US Open Finals? | SELL | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 08-12 09:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |