PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

IsBananas3

0xa4a4925c246e0cf3f8e2c3cd618bb9902623f5d0

Realised P&L
$-405.93
Volume
$37.7k
Markets traded
3,830
Open portfolio
$10.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,830
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration88.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SC Cambuur be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Yes0.4500.315$6.30$2.70
Will Guy Veillette win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election? · No0.8000.675$2.05$0.38
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · No0.2900.300$1.30+$0.04
Will Ohio State Buckeyes be the number 1 ranked offense in CFB · Yes0.2100.055$1.10$3.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 07:44Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft?SELL0.722$14.44
08-26 22:53Will Brian Thomas Jr. have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.07$1.40
08-26 01:56Will Coco Gauff advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?SELL0.65$13.00
08-25 23:20Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?SELL0.187$3.64
08-25 20:39Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?SELL0.37504$7.50
08-25 00:33Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028?SELL0.56$4.48
08-23 22:51Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028?SELL0.56$6.72
08-21 16:04Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?SELL0.34$6.80
08-21 09:36Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?SELL0.51$2.70
08-21 06:57Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.807$16.14
08-21 01:49Will Wilson Lima win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?SELL0.58$11.60
08-20 10:38Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?SELL0.72$14.40
08-15 22:31Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?SELL0.03$0.60
08-13 09:39Will John Krasinski attend the US Open Finals?SELL0.47$9.40
08-12 09:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?SELL0.75$15.00