PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Seniorfg

0xa4a46e832d4058080bf8244579bd829bfe215c30

Realised P&L
$-110.28
Volume
$17.7k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$25.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-12? · Yes0.4500.415$25.73−$2.17
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.3000.000$0.00−$15.78
Will Degerfors IF win on 2026-07-25? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$51.24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$7.70
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs · Aurora Gaming0.3900.000$0.00−$18.33
Will Trump say "Air Force" or "Space Force" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$40.48
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? · No0.4800.000$0.00−$14.40
Spread: LSU (-10.5) · Clemson0.5300.000$0.00−$13.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 07:47Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.998$30.97
10-08 07:47Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-12?BUY0.45$27.90
10-08 07:47Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$31.00
09-10 11:55Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.48$14.40
09-03 09:04Spread: LSU (-10.5)BUY0.53$13.78
08-19 07:55Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.39$18.33
08-03 06:55Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.007$5.21
08-03 06:55Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.998$772.22
08-03 06:552026 Balance of Power: OtherSELL0.005$3.61
08-03 06:54Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.999$173.00
08-03 06:54Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.992$184.76
08-03 06:54Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.999$600.00
08-03 06:53Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.992$554.28
08-03 06:522026 Balance of Power: OtherSELL0.994$717.67
07-29 07:08New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$31.50