chopsticks12
0xa491770edae202c0b24686cb315acb9f68f73177
- Realised P&L
- $-55.4k
- Volume
- $13.61M
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $449.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.9kat 0.001Pelicans vs. Jazz
- +$20.6kat 0.792Warriors vs. Knicks
- +$19.5kat 0.585Celtics vs. Thunder
- +$15.5kat 0.737Mavericks vs. Pelicans
- +$14.5kat 0.600Clippers vs. Pelicans
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 03:20 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 09-14 06:30 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 09-13 13:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 09-12 01:37 | Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 09-10 04:02 | 49ers vs. Rams | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 09-09 02:56 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 86-88%? | BUY | 0.22 | $5.28 |
| 09-08 03:37 | Will StripChain launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $37.20 |
| 09-05 02:53 | Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.729 | $102.06 |
| 09-04 05:03 | Sydney Swans vs. Brisbane Lions | BUY | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 03-28 05:12 | Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $15.25 |
| 03-26 02:46 | Raptors vs. Clippers | SELL | 0.6509763626 | $4.1k |
| 03-21 02:12 | Raptors vs. Nuggets | SELL | 0.75 | $2.3k |
| 03-21 02:09 | Raptors vs. Nuggets | SELL | 0.75 | $3.2k |
| 03-21 02:09 | Raptors vs. Nuggets | SELL | 0.75 | $2.9k |
| 03-21 02:08 | Raptors vs. Nuggets | SELL | 0.75 | $4.6k |