apsni
0xa48a7722c506e48b1d386bfeb5e2eafc2251acae
- Realised P&L
- $-39.84
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $221.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.974 | $63.87 | +$2.23 |
| UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.984 | $62.59 | +$1.53 |
| Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31? · No | 0.963 | 0.955 | $47.73 | −$0.42 |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.944 | $47.19 | −$0.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.45at 0.971Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
- +$1.10at 0.962Will Ray McAdam win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
- +$1.10at 0.973Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
- +$0.90at 0.969Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?
- +$0.76at 0.962Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-29 06:31 | Will Amelia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 04-07 12:45 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $19.24 |