PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DaisyMacdonald2891

0xa48851b434da8eac927902d9be71d7125bcdf562

Realised P&L
$688.89
Volume
$184.3k
Markets traded
198
Open portfolio
$362.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded198
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.925$191.47+$21.73
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $1400.3000.554$96.95+$44.45
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.100$60.20$42.14
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · No0.8200.910$9.10+$0.90
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? · Yes0.7101.000$5.00+$1.45
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$7.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 05:25Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?SELL0.404$237.96
04-23 10:27Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?BUY0.697$410.53
04-13 15:39Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.84$677.88
04-13 15:36Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$100.30
04-11 02:47Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.82$928.24
04-09 22:17Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 15-20%?SELL0.9$513.90
04-09 22:16Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 15-20%?SELL0.9$396.90
04-09 12:38Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?SELL0.71$504.10
04-07 11:30Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?BUY0.88$624.80
03-30 17:13Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?SELL0.26$34.32
03-30 13:31Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?SELL0.77$590.59
03-30 09:14Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 15-20%?BUY0.85$860.20
03-30 07:58Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?BUY0.3$52.50
03-30 05:22Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?BUY0.31$40.92
03-30 03:36Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?BUY0.78$598.26