PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

shuaishuai88

0xa4874773b89c4f004b619c881cf36186832ace6a

Realised P&L
$-61.01
Volume
$30.6k
Markets traded
302
Open portfolio
$44.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded302
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? · Yes0.9500.920$44.75−$1.43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5? · No0.0330.000$0.00−$11.63
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? · No0.9290.000$0.00−$18.52
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 16? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00−$16.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6? · No0.0740.000$0.00−$11.48
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 17? · Yes0.5530.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 11? · Yes0.8880.000$0.00−$26.64
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? · Yes0.6420.000$0.00−$5.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 05:34Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November?BUY0.95$46.19
10-31 03:57Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?BUY0.9556633663$44.40
10-31 03:56Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?SELL0.988$44.41
10-30 04:26Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?BUY0.92$41.35
10-30 04:25Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?SELL0.976$41.58
10-25 04:21Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?BUY0.7$29.82
10-24 14:42Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 24?BUY0.9399999987$28.73
10-23 01:31Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?BUY0.7099999972$20.43
10-13 10:36Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?SELL0.749$29.20
10-13 09:11Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.9114642216$35.54
10-08 12:25Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 8?SELL0.993$45.68
10-08 04:44Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 8?BUY0.983$45.22
10-08 04:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?SELL0.3214925373$25.85
10-08 04:31Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 8?SELL0.184100005$36.82
10-08 04:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?SELL0.2090322867$42.34