PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xa4838174C4150ec63B2C374B3533ada5aCFBC310-1781811104050

0xa4838174c4150ec63b2c374b3533ada5acfbc310

Realised P&L
$334.59
Volume
$27.8k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$432.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0140.022$307.70+$118.77
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? · Yes0.8600.830$96.51−$3.49
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1150.075$22.92−$12.08
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0360.021$5.69−$4.31
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2130.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$20.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3720.000$0.00−$10.00
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev · Alexander Zverev0.0260.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1450.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.1570.000$0.00−$25.00
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Luciano Darderi · Jaime Faria0.7200.000$0.00−$19.20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No0.0460.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:53Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.8599999997$100.00
10-30 21:02Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.332$40.16
10-30 21:01Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.019$5.00
10-28 13:53Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.019$20.00
10-28 06:57Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2479999999$30.00
10-27 21:04Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0153846154$5.00
10-27 18:04Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.74$226.51
10-27 15:14Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0154465501$10.00
10-24 10:30Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0164429654$15.00
10-23 21:17Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0184439517$15.00
10-23 21:13Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.017$10.00
10-23 21:12Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.017$10.00
10-23 18:49Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.017$10.00
10-23 18:30Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.016527761$30.00
10-23 18:28Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.76$67.83