0xa4838174C4150ec63B2C374B3533ada5aCFBC310-1781811104050
0xa4838174c4150ec63b2c374b3533ada5acfbc310
- Realised P&L
- $314.91
- Volume
- $19.2k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $467.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$222.35at 0.477Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
- +$183.39at 0.102Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$177.45at 0.223Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$169.19at 0.474Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$147.14at 0.327Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 11:06 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.008 | $20.00 |
| 09-01 09:41 | Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 15:03 | Will Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 08:04 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 08:02 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.1919999857 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 08:00 | Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 08-25 12:23 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.35 | $12.50 |
| 08-25 12:15 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.3235093183 | $30.00 |
| 08-17 15:47 | Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? | BUY | 0.0969515163 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 10:56 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.1099999938 | $15.00 |
| 08-13 10:52 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-13 10:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? | BUY | 0.0314444954 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 10:36 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 12:09 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 08:05 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0109999978 | $5.00 |