PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa4838174C4150ec63B2C374B3533ada5aCFBC310-1781811104050

0xa4838174c4150ec63b2c374b3533ada5acfbc310

Realised P&L
$314.91
Volume
$19.2k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$467.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3920.615$188.25+$68.25
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3190.395$86.56+$16.56
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.1960.213$59.93+$4.93
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4480.573$51.14+$11.14
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0100.006$36.93$18.06
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1150.115$35.14+$0.14
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0360.030$8.47$1.53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.1100.007$1.02$13.98
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2130.000$0.00$50.00
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$10.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$10.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$20.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3720.000$0.00$10.00
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev · Alexander Zverev0.0260.000$0.00$20.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1450.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 11:06Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.008$20.00
09-01 09:41Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.1199999952$20.00
08-29 15:03Will Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?BUY0.2$10.00
08-28 08:04Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.4699999915$10.00
08-28 08:02Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1919999857$10.00
08-28 08:00Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
08-25 12:23Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.35$12.50
08-25 12:15Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.3235093183$30.00
08-17 15:47Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?BUY0.0969515163$10.00
08-17 10:56Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.1099999938$15.00
08-13 10:52Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
08-13 10:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?BUY0.0314444954$5.00
08-13 10:36Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.32$10.00
08-10 12:09Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.179999987$10.00
08-08 08:05Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0109999978$5.00