0xa4838174C4150ec63B2C374B3533ada5aCFBC310-1781811104050
0xa4838174c4150ec63b2c374b3533ada5acfbc310
- Realised P&L
- $334.59
- Volume
- $27.8k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $432.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$222.35at 0.477Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
- +$183.39at 0.102Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$177.45at 0.223Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$169.19at 0.474Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$147.14at 0.327Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:53 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 21:02 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.332 | $40.16 |
| 10-30 21:01 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.019 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 13:53 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.019 | $20.00 |
| 10-28 06:57 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2479999999 | $30.00 |
| 10-27 21:04 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0153846154 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 18:04 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.74 | $226.51 |
| 10-27 15:14 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0154465501 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 10:30 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0164429654 | $15.00 |
| 10-23 21:17 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0184439517 | $15.00 |
| 10-23 21:13 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.017 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 21:12 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.017 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 18:49 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.017 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 18:30 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.016527761 | $30.00 |
| 10-23 18:28 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.76 | $67.83 |