cuminmyass
0xa47c37508fe50674d570a85abdaa843f74958e87
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $60.3k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $85.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A · 100 Thieves | 0.743 | 0.705 | $83.48 | −$4.52 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.300 | $1.67 | −$1.89 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.95 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.162 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$201.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.82at 0.924Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
- +$115.92at 0.930US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$105.29at 0.878Will Trump visit China by June 30?
- +$69.61at 0.840US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
- +$63.35at 0.904Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 14:31 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A | BUY | 0.7431454249 | $88.00 |
| 09-27 12:23 | Valorant: JD Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A | BUY | 0.9299999993 | $78.09 |
| 09-27 03:00 | Valorant: JD Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A | BUY | 0.75 | $52.69 |
| 09-27 02:59 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A | BUY | 0.6899999962 | $54.00 |
| 07-19 21:50 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0501754242 | $36.61 |
| 07-17 01:06 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4159999995 | $303.54 |
| 06-03 02:37 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $3.95 |
| 06-01 12:03 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.15 |
| 05-29 05:13 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2609999809 | $9.82 |
| 05-29 05:05 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2569295707 | $5.33 |
| 05-29 05:02 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $30.00 |
| 05-29 05:02 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $35.00 |
| 05-29 05:02 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $71.33 |
| 05-29 05:01 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $63.00 |
| 05-29 05:00 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $44.02 |