PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA478Ff2679B2146F0e32a464C8F86FABCE24c87c-1782880414878

0xa478ff2679b2146f0e32a464c8f86fabce24c87c

Realised P&L
$-15.59
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
1,341
Open portfolio
$16.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,341
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 15? · No0.9201.000$2.61+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 15? · No0.9401.000$2.13+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 15? · No0.9651.000$1.04+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 15? · No0.9701.000$1.03+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on September 15? · No0.9801.000$1.02+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 16? · No0.9800.975$0.99$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 16? · No0.9700.960$0.99$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 16? · No0.9800.960$0.98$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 16? · No0.9700.950$0.98$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 26°C on September 16? · No0.9600.940$0.98$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 16? · No0.9600.935$0.97$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 16? · No0.9200.890$0.97$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 16? · No0.9380.896$0.96$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 16? · No0.9600.900$0.94$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on September 5? · No0.9160.000$0.00$4.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 22:57Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 16?BUY0.9379991914$1.00
09-15 22:49Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 16?BUY0.92$1.00
09-15 22:48Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 26°C on September 16?BUY0.96$1.00
09-15 22:47Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 16?BUY0.96$1.00
09-15 22:46Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 16?BUY0.97$1.00
09-15 22:40Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 16?BUY0.98$1.00
09-15 22:39Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 16?BUY0.98$1.00
09-15 22:38Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 16?BUY0.96$1.00
09-15 22:37Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 16?BUY0.97$1.00
09-15 11:31Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 15?BUY0.94$2.00
09-15 11:30Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 15?SELL0.999$2.08
09-15 10:02Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 15?BUY0.9199999847$2.40
09-15 10:01Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on September 15?BUY0.98$1.00
09-15 10:00Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 15?BUY0.97$1.00
09-15 10:00Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 15?SELL0.999$4.18