0xA478Ff2679B2146F0e32a464C8F86FABCE24c87c-1782880414878
0xa478ff2679b2146f0e32a464c8f86fabce24c87c
- Realised P&L
- $-15.59
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,341
- Open portfolio
- $16.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,341
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.56at 0.846Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 29?
- +$2.20at 0.482Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6?
- +$1.41at 0.422Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 9?
- +$1.35at 0.432Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 31°C on September 1?
- +$1.30at 0.908Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on August 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9379991914 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:48 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:46 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:38 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 11:31 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 11:30 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.08 |
| 09-15 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9199999847 | $2.40 |
| 09-15 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.18 |