0xa4763fd921d464ffed8b876d41bbb77b345eee12
0xa4763fd921d464ffed8b876d41bbb77b345eee12
- Realised P&L
- $31.61
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $17.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.115 | $17.07 | +$3.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.79at 0.655Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?
- +$9.20at 0.635Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-09-01?
- +$9.06at 0.694Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30?
- +$6.59at 0.704Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-28?
- +$6.36at 0.674Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 19:38 | Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 09-10 13:23 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.4699999938 | $1.51 |
| 09-05 03:47 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.4599999933 | $13.78 |
| 09-04 15:28 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.6 | $9.34 |
| 09-02 07:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.0279999918 | $3.26 |
| 09-02 06:05 | Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? | BUY | 0.0896741435 | $13.76 |
| 09-02 06:04 | Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.46 |
| 09-01 08:18 | Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.81 |
| 09-01 05:36 | Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-09-01? | BUY | 0.6199999944 | $15.62 |
| 08-30 21:10 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 08-30 13:06 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.7299999798 | $5.41 |
| 08-30 11:32 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.4099999348 | $3.65 |
| 08-30 11:31 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.2999999635 | $4.93 |
| 08-30 04:23 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.68 | $20.15 |
| 08-29 00:06 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.7099999976 | $11.73 |