bmraposo
0xa4702b7fb8e79eeeea978eb9ef7e34206193616b
- Realised P&L
- $-827.14
- Volume
- $52.5k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $10.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$68.26at 0.597Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
- +$62.11at 0.708Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$43.09at 0.880Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$37.23at 0.636Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 17:56 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.755 | $37.75 |
| 10-02 17:55 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.751 | $8.42 |
| 10-02 17:54 | Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election? | SELL | 0.42 | $62.75 |
| 10-02 17:54 | Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election? | SELL | 0.42 | $31.62 |
| 10-02 17:52 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.78 | $350.87 |
| 10-01 14:46 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.78 | $335.03 |
| 09-29 19:51 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.78 | $436.80 |
| 09-29 14:11 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.83 | $58.10 |
| 09-29 12:31 | Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? | BUY | 0.62 | $18.60 |
| 09-29 12:29 | Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | BUY | 0.81 | $139.36 |
| 09-29 12:29 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.84 | $30.75 |
| 09-29 01:19 | Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | BUY | 0.8 | $30.33 |
| 09-29 01:17 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.37 | $3.13 |
| 09-29 01:16 | Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election? | SELL | 0.38 | $11.78 |
| 09-29 01:15 | Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? | BUY | 0.62 | $18.60 |