0xa4686f6dff2e9674d48fb8a944e40d95e2a01bd7
- Realised P&L
- $-20.37
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $24.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No | 0.503 | 0.605 | $24.03 | +$4.03 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.82at 0.044Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 15:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 20:38 | Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.5035544904 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 18:29 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.0333509278 | $15.60 |
| 09-08 05:28 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.042756523 | $20.00 |