PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MarginMaster

0xa45f3da9cbe567f7f46aa84287c4490daa424f97

Realised P&L
$-857.33
Volume
$156.3k
Markets traded
250
Open portfolio
$531.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded250
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? · No0.9600.976$195.10+$3.10
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · Yes0.5900.480$192.00$44.00
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6700.645$64.50$2.50
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? · Yes0.1900.210$42.00+$4.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · Yes0.3200.375$37.50+$5.50
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$3.85
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$50.01
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$8.00
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$3.85
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.2990.000$0.00$59.80
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$50.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$50.00
Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets0.6270.000$0.00$42.60
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4990.000$0.00$49.88
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$34.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 02:09Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.911$91.10
08-29 04:12Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?BUY0.95$95.00
08-29 04:09Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?BUY0.95$95.00
08-24 06:16Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?SELL0.02$2.00
08-19 04:00Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.984$196.80
08-18 03:56Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?SELL0.3$60.00
08-17 15:28Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.864$177.98
08-16 06:24Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.424577$42.46
08-15 07:41Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.946$283.80
08-14 12:43Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?BUY0.976$292.80
08-14 12:42Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?BUY0.761$76.09
08-14 12:41Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.9$180.00
08-12 23:07Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.971$194.20
08-11 15:19Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.968$193.60
08-11 15:12Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.21$21.00