lfkkk
0xa4597d0e723dc949739a91e7d93cd59d1de41cb3
- Realised P&L
- $-4.50
- Volume
- $17.2k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $105.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $20 in September? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $41.12 | +$0.00 |
| Will Solana dip to $40 September 21-27? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $33.02 | −$0.10 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $31.73 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.49at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.29at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
- +$0.26at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$0.22at 0.996Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?
- +$0.21at 0.997Will Solana reach $160 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 13:29 | Will Solana dip to $40 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.12 |
| 09-22 13:27 | Will Solana dip to $20 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $41.12 |
| 08-26 14:11 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.78 |
| 08-26 14:11 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.71 |
| 08-26 14:09 | Will Solana dip to $40 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 08-26 14:09 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.15 |
| 07-18 13:43 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on July 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.55 |
| 07-18 13:41 | Will the price of Solana be above $30 on July 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.74 |
| 07-18 13:40 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.45 |
| 07-18 13:38 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in July? | BUY | 0.9979999963 | $78.77 |
| 06-14 13:30 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.12 |
| 06-14 13:29 | Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $69.00 |
| 06-14 13:25 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in June? | BUY | 0.9959999964 | $59.00 |
| 05-19 14:00 | Will Solana dip to $30 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.80 |
| 05-19 13:59 | Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $45.21 |