MEIMEI-244
0xa4572b71c60a2b7e36ea56b2d53e4e32c9c5181f
- Realised P&L
- $219.75
- Volume
- $71.1k
- Markets traded
- 238
- Open portfolio
- $438.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded238
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 2? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.999 | $438.22 | +$0.22 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10PM ET · Down | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET · Down | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.80 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.30 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 22? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.90at 0.616Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?
- +$20.80at 0.830Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?
- +$11.60at 0.640Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 23?
- +$11.00at 0.730Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 8?
- +$10.91at 0.560Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $438.00 |
| 09-26 01:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September? | BUY | 0.9969999996 | $436.00 |
| 09-23 01:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $436.00 |
| 09-21 05:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $435.00 |
| 09-18 16:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9979999988 | $435.00 |
| 09-17 01:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $433.57 |
| 09-15 00:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $434.00 |
| 09-13 04:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9989999987 | $433.00 |
| 09-11 13:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.9987716432 | $433.00 |
| 09-06 23:57 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on September 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $433.00 |
| 09-02 23:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 3? | BUY | 0.995 | $430.00 |
| 08-30 00:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.995999999 | $429.00 |
| 08-27 11:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 27? | BUY | 0.996999999 | $428.00 |
| 08-25 02:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.9989999987 | $427.00 |
| 08-18 00:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.9959999985 | $426.00 |