kostolany
0xa44e8ab33a4503d331d1931ee26c2b1abec6268c
- Realised P&L
- $-39.40
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 377
- Open portfolio
- $6.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded377
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.87at 0.103Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$33.33at 0.133Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$32.26at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$18.69at 0.215Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$16.96at 0.195Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 01:32 | Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.0439999995 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 17:46 | Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.92 |
| 09-07 17:45 | Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | SELL | 0.1181632653 | $2.89 |
| 09-06 03:33 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 03:30 | Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 08:23 | Will Gornik Zabrze vs. WKS Slask Wroclaw end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 08:23 | Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Cukaricki Belgrade end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 08:23 | Will FK Fakel Voronezh vs. FK Dinamo Makhachkala end in a draw? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 08:23 | Will Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 08:23 | Will Central Espanol FC vs. Liverpool Montevideo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 08:22 | Will FC Aktobe vs. FC Okzhetpes end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 08:22 | Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Slovan Liberec end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 08:22 | Will FK Teplice vs. Bohemians Praha 1905 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 08:22 | Will FC Zlín vs. FC Baník Ostrava end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 08:22 | Will FCV Farul Constanţa vs. FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |