OriginalPocky
0xa44c15dfb9d2011b625d9f058e17176fb890b049
- Realised P&L
- $-4.5k
- Volume
- $78.2k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $579.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kittle: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.470 | 0.996 | $317.87 | +$167.87 |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.925 | $261.79 | +$111.79 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) · Seahawks | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 53.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Spread: Colts (-6.5) · Colts | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Patriots vs. Bills · Bills | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders · Raiders | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Lions vs. Panthers · Lions | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Cardinals vs. Giants · Cardinals | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Spread: 49ers (-7.5) · 49ers | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$724.14at 0.580Panthers vs. Falcons
- +$529.28at 0.638Chargers vs. Bills
- +$449.28at 0.690Steelers vs. Patriots
- +$381.82at 0.440Jaguars vs. Bengals
- +$364.29at 0.490Raiders vs. Saints
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 23:46 | Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | BUY | 0.5299999999 | $150.00 |
| 10-19 23:46 | George Kittle: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $150.00 |
| 10-19 23:45 | Spread: 49ers (-7.5) | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $150.00 |
| 10-19 23:44 | Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | BUY | 0.5299999999 | $150.00 |
| 10-18 14:14 | Spread: Colts (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5099999992 | $300.00 |
| 10-18 14:09 | Spread: Chiefs (-7.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $300.00 |
| 10-18 14:06 | Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 53.5 | BUY | 0.5099999992 | $300.00 |
| 10-18 14:04 | Spread: Panthers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4599999993 | $150.00 |
| 10-18 13:59 | Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $150.00 |
| 10-15 20:53 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | BUY | 0.519999999 | $150.00 |
| 10-15 20:51 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $150.00 |
| 10-15 20:47 | Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5099999992 | $300.00 |
| 10-11 20:19 | Lions vs. Cardinals: O/U 54.5 | BUY | 0.5299999999 | $300.00 |
| 10-06 00:09 | Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $150.00 |
| 10-06 00:08 | Spread: Saints (-1.5) | BUY | 0.519999999 | $150.00 |