Starryplough
0xa4463cfaa437c2395fccbee7195095f81024754e
- Realised P&L
- $-470.06
- Volume
- $328.3k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $180.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.140Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?
- +$640.17at 0.315Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
- +$467.42at 0.533Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?
- +$466.60at 0.596Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
- +$462.21at 0.283Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-06 23:42 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.1894497754 | $120.51 |
| 04-06 23:42 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June? | SELL | 0.023815476 | $18.84 |
| 04-06 23:42 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | SELL | 0.04 | $22.34 |
| 04-06 23:42 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | SELL | 0.06 | $25.77 |
| 04-06 23:40 | Insurrection Act invoked by June 30? | SELL | 0.12 | $53.56 |
| 04-06 23:40 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.1776134684 | $138.15 |
| 04-06 23:39 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? | SELL | 0.06 | $34.14 |
| 04-06 23:39 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? | SELL | 0.0658564319 | $104.02 |
| 04-06 23:37 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.1381272045 | $66.77 |
| 03-23 15:40 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? | BUY | 0.129637612 | $53.66 |
| 03-23 15:38 | Insurrection Act invoked by June 30? | SELL | 0.1201725065 | $53.64 |
| 03-21 01:40 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? | BUY | 0.13177599 | $153.59 |
| 03-21 01:39 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? | SELL | 0.0324569683 | $90.34 |
| 03-15 00:11 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | SELL | 0.2107373868 | $3.26 |
| 03-15 00:11 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | BUY | 0.7799999871 | $9.64 |