PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Starryplough

0xa4463cfaa437c2395fccbee7195095f81024754e

Realised P&L
$59.59
Volume
$328.3k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$146.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027? · Yes0.2670.070$61.31−$172.76
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0860.162$37.67+$17.67
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? · Yes0.1730.017$34.13−$314.42
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.002$11.54−$88.46
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · Yes0.2700.017$1.27−$18.98
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.6300.021$0.21−$6.22
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? · No0.2000.000$0.00−$165.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Up0.4010.000$0.00−$109.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00−$4.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Down0.0380.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February? · No0.2850.000$0.00−$85.27
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$1.0k
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March? · No0.7000.000$0.00−$50.00
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$226.99
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00−$15.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-06 23:42Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?BUY0.1894497754$120.51
04-06 23:42Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?SELL0.023815476$18.84
04-06 23:42Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?SELL0.04$22.34
04-06 23:42Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?SELL0.06$25.77
04-06 23:40Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?SELL0.12$53.56
04-06 23:40Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?BUY0.1776134684$138.15
04-06 23:39Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?SELL0.06$34.14
04-06 23:39Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?SELL0.0658564319$104.02
04-06 23:37Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?BUY0.1381272045$66.77
03-23 15:40Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?BUY0.129637612$53.66
03-23 15:38Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?SELL0.1201725065$53.64
03-21 01:40Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?BUY0.13177599$153.59
03-21 01:39Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?SELL0.0324569683$90.34
03-15 00:11Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?SELL0.2107373868$3.26
03-15 00:11Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?BUY0.7799999871$9.64