bentrading
0xa4445a4233c090e73d2cc3da6f3669ccd0090f6a
- Realised P&L
- $7.80
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $0.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.005 | $0.66 | −$2.34 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.46at 0.260Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$1.59at 0.779Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
- +$1.05at 0.190Will MrBeast's next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4?
- +$-1.00at 0.160Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$-1.00at 0.001Will MrBeast's next video get less than 69 million views on day 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-16 14:39 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 04-16 14:38 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 04-16 14:36 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 04-16 14:35 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 04-16 14:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $7.49 |
| 04-16 14:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 14:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $4.82 |
| 03-25 13:11 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4? | SELL | 0.39 | $2.05 |
| 03-25 11:45 | Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 03-25 11:44 | Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.025 | $3.00 |
| 03-25 11:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $0.99 |
| 03-25 11:36 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 03-25 11:35 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 69 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |